SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Qatar | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ecuador | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Qatar | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Netherlands in this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Qatar |
73.3% ( -0.78) | 16.54% ( 0.33) | 10.15% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 48.37% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.7% ( -0.1) | 39.3% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.37% ( -0.1) | 61.63% ( 0.11) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( -0.2) | 9.29% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.63% ( -0.5) | 31.37% ( 0.5) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.32% ( 0.86) | 46.68% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.76% ( 0.65) | 82.24% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Netherlands | Draw | Qatar |
| 2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.8% Total : 73.3% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.54% | 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.7% Total : 10.15% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
