SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Argentina | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Qatar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Honduras |
40.59% ( 0.01) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 31.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.37% ( -0.07) | 57.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.6% ( -0.06) | 78.39% ( 0.05) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% ( -0.03) | 27.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.56% ( -0.04) | 63.44% ( 0.03) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( -0.05) | 33.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( -0.06) | 70.03% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.71% |
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