SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 77.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 6.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Jamaica |
77.76% ( -0.3) | 15.89% ( 0.22) | 6.35% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 33.39% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( -0.61) | 49.52% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( -0.55) | 71.56% ( 0.56) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.19% ( -0.24) | 10.81% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.14% ( -0.54) | 34.87% ( 0.55) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.44% ( -0.14) | 62.56% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.09% ( -0.07) | 91.91% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mexico | Draw | Jamaica |
| 2-0 @ 16.73% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 77.75% | 1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 15.89% | 0-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 6.35% |
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