SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jordan win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jordan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jordan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jordan | Draw | Philippines |
57.3% ( 0.06) | 23% ( 0) | 19.7% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.09) | 48.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( -0.08) | 70.27% ( 0.08) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( -0.01) | 16.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.7% ( -0.02) | 46.3% ( 0.02) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.12) | 38.59% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( -0.11) | 75.34% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jordan | Draw | Philippines |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)5-0 @ 1% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 1% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 19.7% |
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