SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Philippines win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vietnam in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | Philippines |
44.74% ( -0.11) | 24.88% ( 0.03) | 30.38% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( -0.07) | 46.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( -0.06) | 69.01% ( 0.07) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.08) | 20.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( -0.12) | 53.69% ( 0.12) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( 0.02) | 28.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( 0.03) | 64.64% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | Philippines |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.38% |
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