SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyrgyzstan win with a probability of 58.65%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyrgyzstan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
22.28% ( 4.17) | 19.07% ( 2.1) | 58.65% ( -6.26) |
| Both teams to score 69.61% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.96% ( -4.15) | 26.04% ( 4.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.74% ( -5.52) | 46.26% ( 5.52) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( 0.73) | 23.47% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( 1.04) | 57.49% ( -1.04) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.96% ( -2.43) | 9.03% ( 2.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.24% ( -6.19) | 30.75% ( 6.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Myanmar | Draw | Kyrgyzstan |
| 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.98) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.3)1-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.8)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.62)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.2)4-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.89% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( 1.23) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.5)3-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.52)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.07% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 7.12% ( -0.47)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.22)0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.75)0-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.43)1-4 @ 4.28% ( -0.87)2-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.55)0-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.68)1-5 @ 2.06% ( -0.74)3-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.23)2-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.5)0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.55)Other @ 4.56% Total : 58.65% |
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