SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Myanmar had a probability of 23.4% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Myanmar win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Myanmar |
53.63% ( -0) | 22.97% | 23.4% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.45% ( 0.01) | 43.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.05% ( 0.01) | 65.95% ( -0.01) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.01) | 16.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% ( 0.01) | 45.69% ( -0.01) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( 0.01) | 32.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( 0.01) | 68.98% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Myanmar |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.5% Total : 23.4% |
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