SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.25%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaysia | Draw | Turkmenistan |
79.39% ( -0.26) | 13.57% ( 0.15) | 7.04% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.11% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.34) | 35.87% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.05% ( -0.38) | 57.95% ( 0.38) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.85% ( -0.13) | 7.15% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74% ( -0.34) | 26% ( 0.34) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.58% ( 0.04) | 51.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.38% ( 0.03) | 85.62% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaysia | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 2-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.78% Total : 79.39% | 1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 13.57% | 0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 7.04% |
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