Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 54.89%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.