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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Nepal win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%).
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Afghanistan |
32.81% ( -0.18) | 27.16% ( -0.03) | 40.03% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.94% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( 0.08) | 55.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( 0.07) | 76.59% ( -0.07) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.08) | 31.5% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.11% ( -0.1) | 67.89% ( 0.09) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( 0.16) | 27.1% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( 0.2) | 62.48% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.81% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 40.03% |
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