Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Afghanistan had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Afghanistan win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
