SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Afghanistan had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Afghanistan win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 51.32% | 24.02% | 24.66% |
| Both teams to score 54.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% | 46.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% | 69.16% |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% | 18.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.64% | 49.36% |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% | 33.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.18% | 69.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.76% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.66% |
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