SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Nepal win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Oman |
28.81% ( 0) | 22.74% ( -0.01) | 48.45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.8% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.05) | 37.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( 0.05) | 59.99% ( -0.05) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( 0.02) | 25.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( 0.03) | 60.09% ( -0.03) |
| Oman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( 0.02) | 15.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% ( 0.04) | 45.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Oman |
| 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.74% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.81% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.45% |
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