SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Afghanistan had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Afghanistan win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vietnam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | Afghanistan |
40.04% ( 0.01) | 27.21% ( -0) | 32.75% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( 0.01) | 55.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( 0.01) | 76.76% ( -0.01) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 0.01) | 27.19% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% ( 0.02) | 62.6% ( -0.01) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( 0) | 31.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.94% ( 0.01) | 68.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.75% |
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