Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nepal would win this match.