SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Chinese Taipei had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philippines win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Chinese Taipei win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philippines | Draw | Chinese Taipei |
43.96% ( -29.32) | 22.46% ( 6.49) | 33.58% ( 22.84) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( 13.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.66) | 33.93% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.22% ( 0.74) | 55.78% ( -0.73) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -7.96) | 16.1% ( 7.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( -16.96) | 45.5% ( 16.97) |
| Chinese Taipei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( 21.67) | 20.68% ( -21.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( 25.47) | 53.27% ( -25.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philippines | Draw | Chinese Taipei |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.57) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -2.56)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -5.28)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -2.47)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.85)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -5.69)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -2.46)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -4.15)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.41)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 2.16) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 2.89)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.25)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 4.36) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 2.29)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 2.86)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 3.05)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 2.48)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1.81)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 1.37)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 1.18)Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58% |
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