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Friendlies 3
Jun 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The National Stadium
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Singapore
2 - 2
P. New Guinea

bin Swandi (22'), Harun (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Kepo (41'), Gunemba (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macao 0-1 Singapore
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

We said: Singapore 1-1 Papua New Guinea

Only one place separates the two minnows in the FIFA World Rankings at present, and we expect the standings to ring true in Thursday's affair. There is no shortage of goals in the Papua New Guinea ranks, but Singapore have a respectable unbeaten run to protect and can strike back on home soil to hold their visitors to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Singapore win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Singapore win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SingaporeDrawPapua New Guinea
59.14% (-0.104 -0.1) 21.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 19.29% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (0.171 0.17)42.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (0.169 0.17)64.91% (-0.175 -0.17)
Singapore Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (0.022999999999996 0.02)14.03% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)41.58% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (0.20799999999999 0.21)35.79% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (0.215 0.22)72.56% (-0.22 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Singapore 59.14%
    Papua New Guinea 19.29%
    Draw 21.57%
SingaporeDrawPapua New Guinea
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.68% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.34% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.57%
1-2 @ 5.21% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 19.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Macao 0-1 Singapore
Sunday, March 26 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hong Kong 1-1 Singapore
Thursday, March 23 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Singapore 3-1 Maldives
Saturday, December 17 at 10am in International Friendlies
Last Game: India 1-1 Singapore
Saturday, September 24 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Vietnam 4-0 Singapore
Wednesday, September 21 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Kuwait 2-0 Singapore
Wednesday, June 1 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: Fiji 1-2 P. New Guinea
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania
Last Game: P. New Guinea 1-0 New Caledonia
Monday, March 21 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania


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