SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vanuatu win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vanuatu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Vanuatu |
32.92% ( 0.38) | 23.22% ( 0.03) | 43.86% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 63.38% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.03% ( -0.02) | 37.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% ( -0.02) | 60.22% ( 0.02) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( 0.21) | 22.94% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.28% ( 0.31) | 56.71% ( -0.31) |
| Vanuatu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( -0.18) | 17.75% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.57% ( -0.31) | 48.43% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Vanuatu |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.92% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.86% |
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