Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tahiti win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for New Caledonia has a probability of 36.64% and a draw has a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tahiti win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest New Caledonia win is 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).
-1.64) 
0.57) 
