Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.
Result | ||
Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
47.31% ( -0.16) | 26.28% ( 0.03) | 26.41% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.31% ( -0.06) | 54.68% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.98% ( -0.05) | 76.01% ( 0.05) |
Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% ( -0.1) | 23.11% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.02% ( -0.15) | 56.97% ( 0.14) |
Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( 0.07) | 35.93% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( 0.07) | 72.71% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.41% |
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