SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Hapoel Jerusalem win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
19.78% ( -0.05) | 22.99% ( -0.04) | 57.22% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( 0.11) | 47.98% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( 0.11) | 70.15% ( -0.1) |
| Hapoel Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( 0.01) | 38.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% ( 0.01) | 75.18% ( -0.01) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( 0.08) | 16.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.73% ( 0.13) | 46.27% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 19.78% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 57.22% |
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