Maccabi have enjoyed an unbeaten start to the 2024-25 season and should be confident of continuing their rich vein of form against Backa Topola on Thursday night. The Serbians are struggling to find consistency domestically, so we feel that they could be the victims of first-leg defeat in Hungary. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 17.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Backa Topola
60.32%	22.01%	17.68%

Both teams to score 50.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.08%

46.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.83%

69.17%

Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.88%

15.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.32%

43.68%

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.82%

40.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.19%

76.81%

Score Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv 60.31%

Backa Topola 17.68%

Draw 22%

Maccabi Tel Aviv	Draw	Backa Topola
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 6.23% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 60.31%	1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.96% Total : 22%	0-1 @ 5.54% 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.68%