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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 4, 2023 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Consadole

Ito (20'), Ota (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fitzgerald (17' og.), Asano (79')
Baba (65'), Nakamura (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Consadole Sapporo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, February 26 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawConsadole Sapporo
47.48% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 23.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 29.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.92% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.33% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.29% (0.043999999999997 0.04)47.7% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)26.51% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (-0.055 -0.05)61.7% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 47.48%
    Consadole Sapporo 29.14%
    Draw 23.37%
Albirex NiigataDrawConsadole Sapporo
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 47.48%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 29.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, February 26 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, February 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 4-3 Shimizu S-Pulse
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Consadole
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Consadole
Wednesday, October 12 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, October 8 at 6am in J1 League


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