Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Albirex Niigata
53.75% ( 0.89)	23.64% ( -0.22)	22.6% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 53.39% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

0.25)

47.33% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

0.23)

69.55% (

-0.23)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

0.42)

17.53% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95% (

0.73)

48.05% (

-0.73)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.74% (

-0.47)

35.26% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98% (

-0.49)

72.01% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 53.75%

Albirex Niigata 22.6%

Draw 23.63%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 53.75%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.6%