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J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 23, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 2
Kashima Antlers


Fitzgerald (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Suzuki (3'), Kakita (26')
Suzuki (28'), Nakama (43')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKashima Antlers
34.46% (-0.513 -0.51) 26.18% (0.173 0.17) 39.36% (0.342 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.4% (-0.653 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86% (-0.80099999999999 -0.8)51.14% (0.803 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.705 -0.7)72.98% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.7 -0.7)28.32% (0.701 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.893 -0.89)64.05% (0.895 0.9)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)25.49% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (-0.248 -0.25)60.34% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 34.46%
    Kashima Antlers 39.36%
    Draw 26.17%
Albirex NiigataDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.114 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.46%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, March 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Consadole
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-5 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, April 9 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, March 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, March 12 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League


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