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J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
3 - 2
Avispa Fukuoka

Ito (47', 90+3', 90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Konno (17' pen.), Oda (32')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albirex Niigata would win this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawAvispa Fukuoka
45.96% (0.022000000000006 0.02) 27.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 44.53% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.34% (0.049000000000007 0.05)60.65% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26% (0.038 0.04)80.73% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.034999999999997 0.03)26.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (0.044000000000004 0.04)61.58% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.48% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (0.022000000000002 0.02)76.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 45.96%
    Avispa Fukuoka 26.12%
    Draw 27.9%
Albirex NiigataDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24%
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, March 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-2 Consadole
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, February 26 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, March 19 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, March 12 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League


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