Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
36.4% ( -0.34)	24.65% ( -0.14)	38.94% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 58.97% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92% (

0.65)

44.08% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.54% (

0.63)

66.46% (

-0.63)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

0.11)

23.87% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

0.16)

58.06% (

-0.16)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

0.53)

22.54% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.87% (

0.79)

56.13% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 36.4%

Kawasaki Frontale 38.94%

Draw 24.65%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.4%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.94%