Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
