Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.