Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.