Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.