Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.
