SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Vegalta Sendai |
| 65.19% | 20.54% | 14.26% |
| Both teams to score 47.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% | 46.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% | 69.15% |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% | 13.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.28% | 40.72% |
| Vegalta Sendai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.36% | 44.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.35% | 80.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Vegalta Sendai |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.67% Total : 65.19% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 4.89% 1-2 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 1.06% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.26% |
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