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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Oct 14, 2020 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
3 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Tagawa (22'), Nagai (55'), Adailton (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dutra (79')
Valdo (80')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawShimizu S-Pulse
56.17%24.52%19.3%
Both teams to score 46.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4%54.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06%75.94%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65%19.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87%51.12%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2%42.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88%79.12%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 56.16%
    Shimizu S-Pulse 19.3%
    Draw 24.52%
FC TokyoDrawShimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 56.16%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.03%
1-2 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.3%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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