Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.