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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Oct 10, 2020 at 6am UK
IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-Pulse
2 - 3
Hiroshima

Dutra (49'), Goto (86')
Carlinhos (12'), Dutra (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morishima (13'), Pereira (51'), Kawabe (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shimizu S-Pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Shimizu S-PulseDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
23.13%23.96%52.91%
Both teams to score 53.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88%48.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72%70.28%
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.79%35.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04%71.96%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87%18.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9%49.1%
Score Analysis
    Shimizu S-Pulse 23.13%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52.91%
    Draw 23.96%
Shimizu S-PulseDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 6.67%
2-1 @ 5.94%
2-0 @ 3.48%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2%
Total : 23.13%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 9.31%
1-3 @ 5.53%
0-3 @ 5.3%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 2.36%
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.91%


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