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J1 League | Gameweek 31
Sep 23, 2020 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Cerezo

Oliveira (63'), Adailton (66')
Morishige (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuda (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawCerezo Osaka
42.19%26.98%30.83%
Both teams to score 49.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77%55.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54%76.46%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13%25.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16%60.84%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2%32.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64%69.36%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 42.19%
    Cerezo Osaka 30.83%
    Draw 26.97%
FC TokyoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.46%
1-2 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.83%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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