Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.