Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.