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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Sep 27, 2020 at 8am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
FC Tokyo

Ishii (26'), Morishita (59'), Uchida (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bangunagande (61'), Watanabe (68'), Oliveira (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and FC Tokyo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
22.88%25.01%52.1%
Both teams to score 49.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41%52.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76%74.24%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08%37.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31%74.69%
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82%20.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53%52.47%
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 22.88%
    FC Tokyo 52.1%
    Draw 25.01%
Sagan TosuDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 3.6%
3-1 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 22.88%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 12.24%
0-2 @ 9.8%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-3 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 5.07%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 2.03%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 52.1%


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