Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
