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J1 League | Gameweek 1
Feb 27, 2021 at 6am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Sagan Tosu


Nakamura (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.34%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sagan Tosu in this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
29.2%28.63%42.16%
Both teams to score 44.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.34%61.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.51%81.48%
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.25%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09%28.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22%64.78%
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 29.2%
    Sagan Tosu 42.16%
    Draw 28.62%
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.71%
3-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 13.44%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-3 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.07%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 42.16%

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