Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vegalta Sendai win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vegalta Sendai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.