Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
