Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.