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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Apr 14, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Hiroshima

Maruyama (22')
Kakitani (36'), Yonemoto (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rhayner (90+1'), Kawabe (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
38.56%28.98%32.45%
Both teams to score 44.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.99%62.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.25%81.74%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83%31.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49%67.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8%35.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.04%71.95%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 38.56%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32.45%
    Draw 28.98%
Nagoya GrampusDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.98%
0-1 @ 11.45%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 32.45%

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