Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
