SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.65%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oita Trinita | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 19.49% | 27.47% | 53.04% |
| Both teams to score 39.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.94% | 64.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.77% | 83.22% |
| Oita Trinita Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.84% | 48.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.65% | 83.34% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% | 24.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.92% | 59.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oita Trinita | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 3.16% 3-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.49% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 11.83% 2-2 @ 3.11% Other @ 0.38% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 16.61% 0-2 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-3 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.07% Total : 53.04% |
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