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J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 11, 2021 at 7am UK
Oita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita
0 - 3
Nagoya Grampus


Kobayashi (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yamasaki (33'), Saka (44' og.), Kakitani (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Oita Trinita and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.65%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Oita TrinitaDrawNagoya Grampus
19.49%27.47%53.04%
Both teams to score 39.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.94%64.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.77%83.22%
Oita Trinita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.84%48.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.65%83.34%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41%24.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92%59.08%
Score Analysis
    Oita Trinita 19.49%
    Nagoya Grampus 53.04%
    Draw 27.45%
Oita TrinitaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 3.16%
3-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.49%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 11.83%
2-2 @ 3.11%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 16.61%
0-2 @ 11.65%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-3 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-4 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 53.04%

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