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J1 League | Gameweek 31
Oct 1, 2022 at 7am UK
Hiroshima Big Arch

Hiroshima
4 - 1
Urawa

Morishima (22'), Araki (62'), Mitsuta (71', 83')
Araki (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shibato (76')
Iwanami (40'), Linssen (86')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Urawa Red Diamonds.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
41.7% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 26.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 31.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)52.29% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)73.98% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.79% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)59.36% (0.073 0.07)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 41.7%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 31.97%
    Draw 26.33%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 31.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 10 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Saturday, September 3 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-3 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 5-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, August 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-3 Hiroshima
Sunday, August 14 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, September 14 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Reysol
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, September 3 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Jeonbuk 2-2 Urawa (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 11.30am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Urawa 4-0 Pathum Utd
Monday, August 22 at 12pm in AFC Champions League


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