SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
31.18% ( 0.02) | 25.7% | 43.12% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( 0.01) | 49.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( 0.01) | 71.94% ( -0.01) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( 0.02) | 29.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.05% ( 0.02) | 65.95% ( -0.02) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -0) | 23.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.12% ( -0) | 56.88% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.12% |
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