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J1 League | Gameweek 34
Nov 5, 2022 at 5am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
2 - 2
Hiroshima

Miyashiro (57'), Seok-Ho (60')
Miyashiro (7'), Kakita (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sasaki (3'), Mitsuta (42')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Consadole
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
31.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.7%43.12% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.97% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.05% (0.010000000000005 0.01)49.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)71.94% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.86% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)65.95% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.05% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)56.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 31.18%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43.12%
    Draw 25.69%
Sagan TosuDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.18%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Friday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-3 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 Consadole
Saturday, October 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, October 8 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Urawa
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 10 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Saturday, September 3 at 10.30am in J1 League


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