Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.