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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Aug 15, 2020 at 11am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
1 - 3
Cerezo

Olunga (88')
Takahashi (54'), Takahashi (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendes (5'), Koga (55' og.), Nishikawa (87')
Okuno (44')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Cerezo Osaka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawCerezo Osaka
43.32%26.36%30.32%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47%53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4%74.6%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71%24.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34%58.66%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98%32.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52%68.48%
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 43.31%
    Cerezo Osaka 30.32%
    Draw 26.36%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.32%


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