SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 43.32% | 26.36% | 30.32% |
| Both teams to score 51.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% | 24.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.34% | 58.66% |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% | 32.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.52% | 68.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.32% |
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