Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 53.34%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.