Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.