Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shimizu S-Pulse in this match.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
38.06% ( 0.08)	27.45% ( 0.03)	34.49% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 49.37% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.75% (

-0.11)

56.25% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71% (

-0.09)

77.29% (

0.09)

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-0)

28.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

-0.01)

64.43% (

0.01)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0.12)

30.83% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

-0.15)

67.1% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 38.05%

Kyoto Sanga 34.48%

Draw 27.44%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.05%	1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.48%